{"id":14223,"date":"2019-01-04T10:35:36","date_gmt":"2019-01-04T01:35:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/seigi.accsnet.ne.jp\/sigh\/blog\/?p=14223"},"modified":"2021-12-12T15:30:05","modified_gmt":"2021-12-12T06:30:05","slug":"%e7%a2%ba%e7%8e%87%e3%81%ae%e8%8b%b1%e8%aa%9e%e3%83%bb%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e8%aa%9e%e3%81%ae%e8%a1%a8%e7%8f%be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/?p=14223","title":{"rendered":"\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u82f1\u8a9e\u30fb\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u306e\u8868\u73fe"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>IPCC\uff08\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u30d1\u30cd\u30eb\uff09 \u7b2c5\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u66f8(AR5)\u306e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.env.go.jp\/earth\/ipcc\/5th\/pdf\/ar5_wg1_overview_presentation.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"V.AR5\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u300d\u306e\u8868\u73fe (\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u30bf\u30d6\u3067\u958b\u304f)\">V.AR5\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u300d\u306e\u8868\u73fe<\/a>\u304b\u3089\u3001\u4e00\u90e8\u306e\u8868\u793a\u306e\u307f\u5909\u66f4\u3059\u308b\u3068<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<table class=\"wp-block-table aligncenter\">\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">\u82f1\u8a9e<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">\u548c\u8a33<\/td>\r\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">\u767a\u751f\u78ba\u7387 %<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Virtually certain<\/td>\r\n<td>\u307b\u307c\u78ba\u5b9f<\/td>\r\n<td>99~100<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Extremely likely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6975\u3081\u3066\u9ad8\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>95~100<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Very likely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u9ad8\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>90~100<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Likely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>66~100<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>More likely than not<\/td>\r\n<td>\u3069\u3061\u3089\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3048\u3070<\/td>\r\n<td>50~100<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>About as likely as not<\/td>\r\n<td>\u3069\u3061\u3089\u3082\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6<\/td>\r\n<td>33~66<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Unlikely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u4f4e\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>0~33<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Very unlikely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u4f4e\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>0~10<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Extremely unlikely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6975\u3081\u3066\u4f4e\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>0~5<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Exceptionally unlikely<\/td>\r\n<td>\u307b\u307c\u3042\u308a\u5f97\u306a\u3044<\/td>\r\n<td>0~1<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n\r\n\r\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u74b0\u5883\u7701\u306e\u6c7a\u3081\u305f\u8868\u73fe\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6c17\u5019\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u300c\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u300d\u3068\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u3092\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u306b\u8868\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u7528\u8a9e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u89e3\u6790\u3084\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u78ba\u7387\u7684\u306b\u8868\u73fe\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304c\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u5206\u91ce\u306b\u3042\u3066\u306f\u307e\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u8b70\u8ad6\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3060\u3051\u3069\u3001\u53c2\u8003\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\r\n<p>\u533b\u5b66\u30fb\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3067\u3001\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\u304c 5% \u672a\u6e80\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3068\u304d\u3001\u300c\u6709\u610f\u306e\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u300d\u3068\u8868\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3051\u308c\u3069\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3092\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6975\u3081\u3066\u9ad8\u3044\u30fb\u4f4e\u3044\u300d\u300cExtremely likely\u30fbunlikely\u300d\u3068\u8868\u73fe\u3057\u3066\u8ad6\u6587\u306b\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u3089\u3001\u30ec\u30d5\u30ea\u30fc\u304b\u3089\u30af\u30ec\u30fc\u30e0\u304c\u3064\u304f\u3060\u308d\u3046\u306a\u3002<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t<![CDATA[]]>\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-education","category-7"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14223","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14223"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14223\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19898,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14223\/revisions\/19898"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14223"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14223"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nbsigh2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14223"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}